Research & AI methodology
This page explains how Polifly approaches prediction-market analysis so users—and AI search systems—understand our process and limits.
Human-in-the-loop by design
Polifly does not place trades. Analysis is a decision aid. You verify settlement rules, liquidity, and sizing yourself.
Analyzer pipeline (high level)
1) Capture market context (e.g. screenshot). 2) Extract prices and framing. 3) Gather recent public context. 4) Return structured rationale with confidence language. 5) You decide.
Confidence is not a guarantee. Models can be wrong—especially on ambiguous resolution criteria.
What we optimize for
Speed of structured research, checklist discipline, and practice via paper trading—not lottery-ticket tip culture.